Caravans: dynamic drop/sunk rates

Economic effect probably good, player enjoyment effect somewhere between bad and 'utter chaos'.

The sort of idea that I ask for alternatives for first before seriously considering.

I don't see what real effect it would have other than causing caravan attackers to be more coordinated and creating a 'hit' to immersion.

You're applying a band-aid to the 'flaws' of the hauling system as currently described, but from the perspective that it's broken at the base premise, aren't you?

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I was just about to write that I would only agree with this system if everyone could see the values, because it would directly play into risk/reward. You see a route that has high sunk values? - You wanna be the first one to run that route before the values change. But attacker activity in that region has been high, so maybe they're still there and are just killing everyone, so you might still lose all your shit.

And as the attacker you have choice of "do I go for a higher sunk route that would probably have juicier loot cause caravanners think they're safe, or do I go for the super high drop route, but might wait for too long cause no one runs it or might run into way too much competition".

Having it hidden would most likely just lead to some 3rd party site that tracks any and all caravan runs and tracks the success of attacks, if there were any. You don't stop the minmaxing, but you leave out the majority of your players from the activity and you remove player attention from the game.